Women's World Cup Simulator 2027
Free FIFA Women's World Cup Brazil 2027 simulator — 32 teams, 8 groups, Round of 16 to the Maracanã final, with title odds from the official FIFA women's ranking. Simulate the full tournament or one team's journey — no signup.
Championship Probabilities
How are these probabilities calculated?
Championship probabilities combine two key metrics — FIFA women's ranking points and ranking position — to estimate each team's chance of winning the 2027 Women's World Cup.
Why these weights? ELO ratings have proven to be more accurate predictors of match outcomes than FIFA rankings alone, which is why they receive higher weight (70% vs 30%).
Sum to 100%: All 32 teams' probabilities are normalized to sum to exactly 100%, representing all possible tournament outcomes.
Important: These are statistical predictions based on current data. Football matches involve unpredictable factors (injuries, tactics, momentum, referee decisions) that cannot be fully captured by any model. Upsets happen!
About This Free Women's World Cup 2027 Simulator
The Women's World Cup 2027 simulator plays out the tenth FIFA Women's World Cup in Brazil (24 June – 25 July 2027): 32 teams, 8 groups, a Round of 16 and the final at the Maracanã. Team strength comes from the official FIFA women's ranking of 20 October 2026.
18 Teams Locked In
Hosts Brazil and every team qualified by October 2026 are fixed. The other 14 places use the strongest contenders still alive in the UEFA play-offs, the Concacaf W Championship and the inter-confederation play-off.
Official FIFA Strength
Ratings use FIFA/Coca-Cola Women's World Ranking points — an Elo-based system — blended 70/30 with ranking position. Spain start as No. 1 on 2,121.50 points.
Ready for the Draw
Groups here are an illustrative seeded draw. The official final draw is on Friday, 11 December 2026 in Rio de Janeiro; the simulator updates after it.
Simulator Field & Groups — All 32 Teams
18 qualified (including hosts) and 14 projected. FIFA rank and points from the official women's ranking (20 October 2026).
Group A
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇧🇷Brazil Host nation | #7 | 1,970.87 | Host |
| 🇮🇹Italy UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Finland) | #14 | 1,871.59 | Projected |
| 🇦🇹Austria Inter-confederation play-off | #25 | 1,747.03 | Projected |
| 🇨🇲Cameroon WAFCON 2026 champions | #62 | 1,416.49 | Qualified |
Group B
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇸Spain UEFA League A group winners · 2023 champions | #1 | 2,121.50 | Qualified |
| 🇦🇺Australia AFC Women's Asian Cup 2026 | #15 | 1,831.48 | Qualified |
| 🇲🇽Mexico Concacaf W Championship QF (vs Haiti) | #28 | 1,707.10 | Projected |
| 🇲🇼Malawi WAFCON 2026 finalists · debut | #104 | 1,177.33 | Qualified |
Group C
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸USA Concacaf W Championship QF (vs El Salvador) | #2 | 2,042.38 | Projected |
| 🇳🇱Netherlands UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Slovenia) | #11 | 1,918.30 | Projected |
| 🇨🇳China PR AFC Women's Asian Cup 2026 | #18 | 1,786.80 | Qualified |
| 🇲🇦Morocco WAFCON 2026 semi-finalists | #64 | 1,384.71 | Qualified |
Group D
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇩🇪Germany UEFA League A group winners | #3 | 2,034.62 | Qualified |
| 🇨🇦Canada Concacaf W Championship QF (vs Panama) | #9 | 1,926.96 | Projected |
| 🇦🇷Argentina CONMEBOL qualifying | #30 | 1,689.16 | Qualified |
| 🇵🇭Philippines AFC Women's Asian Cup 2026 | #39 | 1,562.91 | Qualified |
Group E
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🏴England UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Ukraine) | #4 | 2,025.47 | Projected |
| 🇰🇵Korea DPR AFC Women's Asian Cup 2026 | #12 | 1,916.52 | Qualified |
| 🇨🇴Colombia CONMEBOL qualifying | #19 | 1,780.16 | Qualified |
| 🇩🇿Algeria WAFCON 2026 third place · debut | #73 | 1,346.06 | Qualified |
Group F
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇯🇵Japan AFC Women's Asian Cup 2026 | #5 | 1,994.43 | Qualified |
| 🇳🇴Norway UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Wales) | #13 | 1,883.31 | Projected |
| 🇮🇪Republic of Ireland UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Poland) | #21 | 1,771.66 | Projected |
| 🇯🇲Jamaica Concacaf W Championship QF (vs Costa Rica) | #40 | 1,558.19 | Projected |
Group G
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇫🇷France UEFA League A group winners | #6 | 1,983.77 | Qualified |
| 🇮🇸Iceland UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Portugal) | #16 | 1,799.75 | Projected |
| 🇰🇷Korea Republic AFC Women's Asian Cup 2026 | #17 | 1,791.12 | Qualified |
| 🇨🇷Costa Rica Inter-confederation play-off | #41 | 1,523.57 | Projected |
Group H
| Team | FIFA | Points | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇸🇪Sweden UEFA play-off round 2 (vs Scotland) | #8 | 1,938.13 | Projected |
| 🇩🇰Denmark UEFA League A group winners | #10 | 1,920.14 | Qualified |
| 🇳🇿New Zealand OFC qualifying (April 2026) | #33 | 1,645.41 | Qualified |
| 🇹🇼Chinese Taipei Inter-confederation play-off | #38 | 1,573.33 | Projected |
Women's World Cup 2027 Title Odds — Simulator Favourites
Model probabilities before any simulation runs. Press the button above to run 1,000 or 10,000 tournaments and compare.
| # | Team | FIFA rank | Group | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇪🇸 Spain | #1 | B | 16.2% |
| 2 | 🇺🇸 USA | #2 | C | 10.2% |
| 3 | 🇩🇪 Germany | #3 | D | 9.4% |
| 4 | 🏴 England | #4 | E | 8.7% |
| 5 | 🇧🇷 Brazil | #7 | A | 7.9% |
| 6 | 🇯🇵 Japan | #5 | F | 7.0% |
| 7 | 🇫🇷 France | #6 | G | 6.4% |
| 8 | 🇸🇪 Sweden | #8 | H | 4.5% |
| 9 | 🇨🇦 Canada | #9 | D | 4.1% |
| 10 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | #10 | H | 3.8% |
2027 Women's World Cup Format & Host Facts
32 teams in 8 groups of four. The top two from each group reach the Round of 16 — there are no best third-placed qualifiers. Opening match: Thursday, 24 June 2027 at the Maracanã. Final: Sunday, 25 July 2027.
Teams
Groups
Matches
Host Cities
Brazil 2027 Stadiums
| Stadium | City | Matches | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estádio do Maracanã | Rio de Janeiro | 9 | Opening match and final. One semi-final. |
| Arena Itaquera | São Paulo | 10 | Most matches of any venue: group stage (incl. Brazil), Round of 16, quarter-final, semi-final and bronze final. |
| Arena Castelão | Fortaleza | 9 | Six group matches, two Round of 16 ties and one quarter-final. |
| Estádio Mineirão | Belo Horizonte | 8 | Six group matches, one Round of 16 and one quarter-final. |
| Estádio Nacional | Brasília | 7 | Hosts Brazil’s third group match; through Round of 16. |
| Estádio Beira-Rio | Porto Alegre | 7 | Six group matches and one Round of 16. |
| Arena de Pernambuco | Recife | 7 | Through Round of 16. |
| Arena Fonte Nova | Salvador | 7 | Six group matches and one Round of 16. |
Full guide: FIFA Women's World Cup Brazil 2027 hub.
Simulation Methodology
Same transparent engine as our World Cup 2030 simulator, adapted to the 32-team women's format.
Match Outcome Calculation
- FIFA women's ranking points — primary win-probability driver (the ranking is Elo-based)
- Ranking position — 30% blend for title odds
- Host boost — Brazil receive +50 rating points at home
- Knockouts — level matches go to a coin-flip shoot-out; no best third-placed teams
Important Disclaimer
14 places are still being decided in the UEFA play-offs (26 November – 5 December 2026), the Concacaf W Championship (27 November – 5 December 2026) and the February 2027 inter-confederation play-off. Projected teams and groups will change after the Friday, 11 December 2026 draw.
Results are for entertainment and scenario planning — not betting advice.
Frequently Asked Questions — Women's World Cup 2027 Simulator
How does the Women's World Cup 2027 simulator work?
The simulator plays every match of Brazil 2027 using the same 70/30 strength model as our men's simulators. Team strength comes from the official FIFA/Coca-Cola Women's World Ranking points of 20 October 2026 (an Elo-based system), blended with ranking position. It runs 8 groups of four, sends the top two from each group to the Round of 16 and plays through to the final at the Maracanã.
Which teams are in the Women's World Cup 2027 simulation?
All 18 teams qualified as of October 2026 are locked in: Brazil (hosts), Spain, Germany, France, Denmark, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, China PR, Australia, Philippines, Argentina, Colombia, New Zealand, Cameroon, Morocco, Algeria and Malawi. The other 14 places use the highest-ranked contenders still in the UEFA play-offs, the Concacaf W Championship and the inter-confederation play-off.
Are the Women's World Cup 2027 groups real?
No. The groups in the simulator are illustrative, seeded by FIFA ranking with confederation separation. The official final draw is on Friday 11 December 2026 at the Museum of Modern Art in Rio de Janeiro; the simulator groups will be updated after the draw.
Who is the favourite to win the 2027 Women's World Cup?
Spain enter as world champions and FIFA's No. 1 (2,121.50 points on 20 October 2026), so they lead the simulator odds. The USA, Germany, England, Japan, France and hosts Brazil follow. Run 1,000 or 10,000 simulations to see how the odds move.
What is the Women's World Cup 2027 format?
32 teams, 8 groups of four, 64 matches. The top two in each group reach the Round of 16, followed by quarter-finals, semi-finals, the bronze final in São Paulo and the final at the Maracanã on 25 July 2027. There are no best third-placed qualifiers.
Is the Women's World Cup 2027 simulator free?
Yes. Run unlimited single simulations, 1,000x or 10,000x bulk runs and team-journey simulations at worldcupranking.com/womens-world-cup-2027-simulator/ with no signup.
Does Brazil get home advantage in the simulator?
Yes. Brazil receive a modest +50 rating adjustment as hosts, on top of their FIFA ranking points. Every other team uses its published FIFA points unchanged.
Women's World Cup 2027 Resources
Brazil 2027 Hub
Dates, host cities, stadiums, draw and FAQs.
Women's World Cup 2027 guide →Who Has Qualified
Qualifier tracker by confederation.
2027 qualifiers →Men's 2030 Simulator
48-team centenary edition in Morocco, Portugal and Spain.
World Cup 2030 simulator →